The final, certified, results of Election 2004 show that President George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while Senator John Kerry earned 48.3%. Those figures are very close to the final Rasmussen Reports Daily Tracking Poll. We projected the President would win 50.2% to 48.5%.
Three weeks following the battle for Fallujah, 44% voters rate President Bush's handling of the situation in Iraq good or excellent while 41% say he is doing a poor job in this area. That's unchanged from a week ago.
Forty-two percent (42%) of Democrats say New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton would be the party's strongest Presidential candidate in 2008.
Half (51%) of the nation's Democrats say it would be best for their party to nominate a more centrist candidate in 2008.
Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters say that the same sex marriage issue was somewhat or very important in their voting decision last Tuesday. This includes 34% who deemed the issue "very important."
Forty-one percent (41%) of voters said that National Security issues such as the War with Iraq and the War on Terror were the most important in determining their vote.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters support the President's approach that would allow workers invest a portion of their Social Security taxes in personal retirement accounts. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 34% are opposed.
Throughout the campaign Rasmussen Reports projected the results of the Presidential campaign in 27 individual states.
Heading into Election Day, George W. Bush has the lead in states with 222 Electoral Votes while John Kerry leads in states with 186. Eleven states with 130 Electoral Votes remain in the Toss-Up column.
Data from 269 days of Rasmussen Reports Tracking Polls provides a reminder of just how close the campaign has been all year... and for how long it has been so painfully close.
The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with 53% of the vote while President Bush earns 41%. The Garden State appeared to be in play for a period of time following the Republican National Convention, but it now appears safely back in the Democrats' column. It will remain as a "Leans Kerry" for our Electoral College projection.
Three days to go and the latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection shows George W. Bush with 222 Electoral Votes and John Kerry with 186. There are now eleven states with 130 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category.
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 47%. Four years ago, Al Gore won the state with a solid 51% to 46% margin of victory.
Kerry has been consistently ahead in our daily Michigan Tracking Poll provided to Premium Members. However, his lead has declined recently and been smaller than five percentage points for three consecutive days. As a result, Michigan moves back to "Toss-Up" status for our Electoral College projections.
The War on Terror and the economy have been and remain the fundamental issues of Election 2004. We have tracked voter preference on these issues every week since January.
In Florida, the most infamous Toss-Up State of Election 2000, President George Bush has the lead heading into the final weekend of Election 2004.
In the sixteen-Battleground States that are likely to determine the winner of Election 2004, it's as close as it can be--President Bush has 48.0% of the vote and Senator Kerry has 47.5%.
In the South Dakota Senate race, former Congressman John Thune attracts 49% of the vote while Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle earns 46%.
Since July, 40-49 yr. old (Generation Jones) women have vacillated more than other generations of women between John Kerry and George W. Bush.
In Arizona, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. Libertarian Michael Badnarik attracts 3% of the state's vote.
In New Mexico, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 44%. Ralph Nader has 2% of the vote and Libertarian Michael Badnarik has 1%.
