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February 8, 2016

What Would – and Would Not – Be Surprising in New Hampshire By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

Last week, we wrote that Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump are the favorites to win New Hampshire, and while there have been plenty of fireworks between then and now (Monday afternoon), our overall assessment hasn’t changed. Polling in the New Hampshire primary is often far off the mark — the electorate has a remarkably high number of late-deciders and switchers — but keep this in mind: Trump has appeared strong in New Hampshire for more than half a year. Since mid-July, he has led 72 straight polls, almost all of them showing a double-digit lead. And since early January, Sanders has led 38 straight polls, with most also showing a double-digit lead.

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February 8, 2016

Toxic Words By Thomas Sowell

During this election year, we are destined to hear many words that are toxic in the way they misrepresent reality and substitute fantasies that can win votes.

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February 5, 2016

My Critique of Hillary Clinton's Campaign By Ted Rall

Last week, I handicapped the Bernie Sanders campaign. He since pulled off an upset in the Iowa Caucus, where he overcame a 40-point lead by Hillary Clinton to a virtual tie so even that coin tosses and bureaucratic incompetence may have made a difference.

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February 5, 2016

Probing for Clues in the Iowa Caucus Numbers By Michael Barone

Now that the results of last Monday's Iowa caucuses are in, speculation naturally turns to next Tuesday's New Hampshire primary.

Will Donald Trump fail once again to receive the percentage he's getting in polls? Will Marco Rubio build on his close third-place Iowa finish to overshadow rivals Jeb Bush, John Kasich and Chris Christie, who have been rivaling him in New Hampshire polls?

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February 5, 2016

The Remainderman by Pat Buchanan

Donald Trump won more votes in the Iowa caucuses than any Republican candidate in history.

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February 4, 2016

Sanders, Trump Still Favored in New Hampshire By Larry J. Sabato and Kyle Kondik

New Hampshire, as usual, will not be inclined to ratify the result of its early-state rival, Iowa. In open seat races, it’s natural for New Hampshire to zag after Iowa zigs: In the modern era of presidential nominations starting in 1972, there have been 16 contested presidential primaries (seven for the Republicans, nine for the Democrats). In only four of those races did the same candidate win both Iowa and New Hampshire: Presidents Gerald Ford (R) and Jimmy Carter (D) won the first two contests against, respectively, Ronald Reagan in 1976 and Ted Kennedy in 1980, and Al Gore and John Kerry won both while cruising to the Democratic nomination in 2000 and 2004.*

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February 3, 2016

Political Arrogance by John Stossel

After the Iowa caucus results, it looks like Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio in November!

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February 3, 2016

Chicken Little Chuckie Schumer: America's Disease-Fighting Phony By Michelle Malkin

Latin America's Zika virus is the latest undocumented immigrant to hit our shores, but have no fear. Self-appointed Zika Warrior Prince Charles Schumer has declared that he is here to stop it.  

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February 2, 2016

Ted Cruz Wins Iowa, But He Won’t Be the GOP Nominee for President By Charles Hurt

DES MOINES — Well, that’s settled. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz will not be the 2016 Republican nominee for president.

At least not if recent history is any guide. It has been 16 years since Republican caucus-goers here have accurately picked the eventual GOP nominee for president. In other words, not once in this entire century has Iowa picked the winner for Republicans.

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February 2, 2016

Is a New Era Upon Us? by Pat Buchanan

Whoever wins the nominations, the most successful campaigns of 2016 provide us with a clear picture of where the center of gravity is today in both parties and, hence, where America is going.

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February 2, 2016

Republican Debate Shows Where Comprehensive Immigration Is Headed: Nowhere By Michael Barone

Donald Trump was absent from Fox News' Republican debate Thursday night, presiding at his own event seven minutes' drive away featuring cameo appearances by the two previous Iowa Republican caucus winners exiled now to the undercard debate, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum. But the issue Trump raised to high-decibel level at his announcement last June was front and center at the main event: immigration.

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February 2, 2016

Random Thoughts By Thomas Sowell

Random thoughts on the passing scene:   

Will this November's presidential election come down to a choice between a felon and a pied piper?    

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February 1, 2016

Grow Up! By Thomas Sowell

Of all the many things said about Donald Trump, what was said by Roger Ailes, head of the Fox News Channel, said it all in just two words: "Grow up!"

It is amazing how many people have been oblivious to this middle-aged man's spoiled brat behavior, his childish boastfulness about things he says he is going to do, and his petulant response to every criticism with ad hominem replies.

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January 30, 2016

My Critique of Bernie Sanders' Campaign by Ted Rall

Full disclosure: If New York's primary were held today, I'd vote for Bernie Sanders.

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January 29, 2016

The Civil War of the Right By Pat Buchanan

The conservative movement is starting to look a lot like Syria.

Baited, taunted, mocked by Fox News, Donald Trump told Roger Ailes what he could do with his Iowa debate, and marched off to host a Thursday night rally for veterans at the same time in Des Moines.

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January 29, 2016

Missing From Both Parties' Candidates' Campaigns: Work By Michael Barone

From someone whose title is senior political analyst you might be expecting a forecast of who will win the Iowa caucuses next Monday night. Will Donald Trump voters turn out in enough numbers to give him the narrow win over Ted Cruz that polls indicate he has now? Will Hillary Clinton withstand the challenge and excitement generated by Bernie Sanders?

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January 28, 2016

Iowa: At Last By Larry J. Sabato and Kyle Kondik

As the 2016 presidential race officially begins, both party contests are in a place that we, and many others, did not expect them to be. On the Democratic side, frontrunner Hillary Clinton faces a stern challenge from a stronger-than-expected foe, Bernie Sanders. And the Republicans could be on the verge of nominating Donald Trump. Still, no votes have been cast. Pulling down the curtain on a contest yet to begin is both premature and foolish.

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January 27, 2016

A Tale of Two Tapes: Teen Cruz and Terror-Coddler Obama By Michelle Malkin

The crack media buzzed this week with the discovery of a totally front-page, news-breaking, breathtaking videotape.   

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January 27, 2016

No Cure In Sight For Donald Trump Derangement Syndrome Sweeping Elite By Charles Hurt

Beware the latest nasty virus sweeping the East Coast, particularly the most elite citadels of New York City and Washington, D.C.

It is a fast-moving disease, highly contagious and attacks the nervous system. Early stages are inexplicable, fast eye-blinking, light palsy, stammering and overbearing snobbery. Sometimes redness of the face and shortness of breath accompany.

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January 27, 2016

Running on Empty by John Stossel

Cars run on fuel. Politicians run on votes, and they'll do almost anything to get them. That includes supporting mandates that force us to use ethanol, a fuel made from corn that Iowa farmers grow.

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